Deng Xiao Peng, the
architect of modern China, speaking at the special session of the United
Nations on 10th April 1974, said:
“China is a socialist
country, and a developing country as well. China belongs to the Third World.
Consistently following Chairman Mao’s teachings, the Chinese Government and
people firmly support all oppressed peoples and oppressed nations in their
struggle to win or defend national independence, develop the national economy
and oppose colonialism, imperialism and hegemonism. This is our bounden
internationalist duty. China is not a superpower, nor will she ever seek to be
one. What is a superpower? A superpower is an imperialist country which
everywhere subjects other countries to its aggression, interference, control,
subversion or plunder and strives for world hegemony. If capitalism is restored
in a big socialist country, it will inevitably become a superpower. The Great
Proletarian Cultural Revolution, which has been carried out in China in recent
years, and the campaign of criticizing Lin Piao and Confucius now under way
throughout China, are both aimed at preventing capitalist restoration and
ensuring that socialist China will never change her colour and will always
stand by the oppressed peoples and oppressed nations. If one day China should
change her colour and turn into a superpower, if she too should play the tyrant
in the world, and everywhere subject others to her bullying, aggression and
exploitation, the people of the world should identify her as
social-imperialism, expose it, oppose it and work together with the Chinese
people to overthrow it”. (https://www.marxists.org/reference/archive/deng-xiaoping/1974/04/10.htm)
Important words to
think about given the positioning China in the World today.
President Xi Jin Ping,
who has positioned himself in the same exalted status as Chairman Mao and Deng
Xiao Peng, should be a worried leader and under serious pressure.
His traditional play
book strategies are not working. The World leaders are not bowing down to his
pressure tactics. The World citizens are willing to shun the Chinese products
like never before. The carefully crafted image of the man and his machines is
beginning to tarnish rapidly. China is left with their all-weather ally
Pakistan and North Korea, both of whom will do as their master instructs.
Over the past year,
there have been a series of challenges faced by the Chinese economy.
1.
Wuhan Virus (Kung Flu as per President Trump),
that has created devastation in the World. No one knows how many people have
died in China.
2.
The Chinese economy is in trouble partly
because of the shut down and partly because of the anti-China sentiment among
buyers around the World.
3.
Challenges within the CCP, specially after Xi’s
“President for Life” amendment of their “constitution.”
The other significant
piece of the equation is Xi’s dream project, the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI)
which is the cornerstone of his policy of economic colonisation using debt as a
major tool. Almost every country that signed up with China for the BRI has now
found out that there is nothing in it for them. China’s cheque book diplomacy
is facing serious resistance.
One major section of
the BRI goes through Baluchistan (China Pakistan Economic Corridor), which is
in Pakistan Occupied Kashmir. Therefore, rebels in Baluchistan and India will
do whatever it takes to ensure that this CPEC project will not be allowed to be
completed. This will hurt both China and Pakistan.
The most well accepted
form of diverting attention, from time immemorial, is to start a war / create
trouble with neighbours to draw attention away from internal problems, in the
hope the nationalistic feelings will divert the attention of the citizens. This
is what we are seeing happening with all 14 countries that have borders with
China or with those that share international waters with China. From Bhutan
(for an animal reserve) to Russia (for the entire Vladivostok region), from
Mongolia to Japan, from Australia to Myanmar. China has reopened old issues everywhere.
All countries, affected
by China, are now speaking up. South East Asian countries too, who have
traditionally kept quiet, have now spoken up against China for the South China
Seas.
India has had a
long-standing dispute with China on our 3488 kms long border. The British had
defined a border between India and Tibet in 1914 called the “McMahon Line”
which is called the Line of Actual Control (LAC). After annexing Tibet, China
refused to recognise this agreement. Therefore, China keeps claiming various
parts of India including the entire North East of India (7 states of India) as
their own.
In the past, Indian
politicians supported by their able bureaucrats, for various reasons, did not
challenge China but preferred to “let things lie” in the hope that somehow,
good sense would prevail. They knew that China was incorrigible, but it is
always easier to sweep uncomfortable situations under the carpet. This led to
large land areas of India being taken over by China and now claimed as their
own. India has supported Hong Kong and Taiwan at the UN and is asking for an
investigation into the cause of the virus. It should be a matter of time before
India raises the matter of the autonomy of Tibet.
With the recent clash
on 15th June 2020 in the Galwan Valley, the Chinese had thought that
they would keep “creeping” towards India like they had done in the past. Under
Mr Modi, this was not only stopped but rebuffed as well. While 20 Indian
soldiers were killed, I have heard senior officials that over 75 Chinese
soldiers were killed by an enraged India Army who sought retribution after they
saw their Commanding Officer killed. Stories of one Sikh soldier killing 12
people with his “kirpan” before being martyred are doing the rounds. This is
how myths are born, and rightly so.
The Chinese are not
used to being pushed back.
They have survived with
their self-created myth of being the World’s largest and most powerful Army.
Can an Army, which is probably being run by the power of the gun and Communist
ideology battle against the World’s best trained Indian Army who treat their
land as their mother and are willing to happily sacrifice their lives to defend
it?
In the past, our
politicians had tied the hands of the Indian Army behind their backs. Prime
Minister Modi has given freedom to the Army to respond as they deem fit. Mr
Modi’s comment in Ladakh, that India knows how to play Lord Krishna’s flute and
knows how to use His Sudarshan Chakra clearly indicates the complete change in
India’s foreign policy vis-à-vis China. Not only do we know how to make an
aggressor dance to our tune, we also know how to use the deadliest weapons to
protect ourselves.
It is interesting to
see how most countries have come out in support of India. France has also
offered to send their ground troops to support India! Russia is expediting the
delivery of 21 MIG 29 and 12 Sukhoi aircraft as well as the World’s most
advanced S-400 surface-to-air missile systems. USA has positioned 3 aircraft
carriers in the waters around India to Japan and is expediting the despatch of
helicopters on priority.
Opening up so many
flanks at the same time is either a well-crafted strategy of President Xi or
this could be regional satraps within China starting to flex their muscles
independently. If the latter, then the World needs to worry. Whether this lead
to the balkanisation of China, similar to USSR is anybody’s guess?
Are the days of
President Xi numbered? Will he be given a face saving exit? Is there another
group of ambitious and aggressive young leaders within the party who are
plotting to claim the “Dragon Throne”, to give a different direction to the
country?
Is it time for the
leadership of China to go back to the prophetic words of Deng Xiao Peng and
learn to live with the World instead of trying to control it?
Only time will tell.
*******************
The author is a CEO Coach, a
Storyteller and an Angel Investor. He hosts the highly successful podcast
titled The Brand Called You. A keen political observer and commentator, he is
also the founder Chairman of Guardian Pharmacies. He is the author of 6
best-selling books and writes for several online newspapers.
Twitter: @gargashutosh
Instagram: ashutoshgarg56
Blog: ashutoshgargin.wordpress.com |
ashutoshgarg56.blogspot.com
